GW 10 – Arsenal pull clear, City go to Forest
Arsenal three points clear
Arsenal have won four in a row and lead with 24 points. Manchester City have 21 and Brighton 19. Arsenal have won seven home games in a row and concede the least in the league, 0.85 expected goals per match.
On Saturday Arsenal host Hull, who are seven games without a win and create the least in the league, 0.98 expected goals per match. Arsenal have won both Premier League meetings since 2016. Kick-off Saturday 16:00 CET.
Forest have played for 15 points and got 6
Nottingham Forest are nineteenth with 6 points and five games without a win. But their expected points are 15.0, second only to Bournemouth. The shortfall of 9.0 points is the largest in the league. Forest create 1.7 expected goals per match and concede 1.1.
Manchester City have lost two in a row. Of the eight meetings since 2022, City have won five and Forest one, 1-0 at home in March 2025. The latest ended 2-2 in Manchester in March 2026. Kick-off Saturday 18:30 CET.
Liverpool go to Palace
Liverpool are fifth with 15 points and lost last time out. Crystal Palace have lost three in a row, are eighteenth with 7 points and concede the most in the league, 2.5 expected goals per match.
Of the 20 meetings since 2016, Liverpool have won 14 and Palace three. Liverpool create 0.5 expected goals per match within eight seconds of winning the ball, Palace 0.13. Kick-off Sunday 15:00 CET.
The rest of the round
The round opens on Friday 21:00 CET with Everton v Coventry. Everton's Thierno Barry leads the league in expected goals per match, 0.7. Tottenham have won three in a row and visit Leeds, who are five games without a win. Tottenham have won six of the eight meetings since 2021.
Manchester United are seventeenth with 7 points and seven games without a win. On Sunday 17:30 CET they host Aston Villa, who are unbeaten in five. United have won eight of 14 meetings since 2019. Sunderland are bottom with 5 points and seven without a win, but won the last two meetings with Chelsea, who are fourth with 16 points.
Bournemouth have won three in a row and visit Ipswich. Brentford have scored in 11 consecutive matches and visit Brighton, who share the league's highest expected goals per match, 2.0, with City. Newcastle have won seven of twelve meetings with Fulham since 2018.
Matchweek 10 fixtures (Swedish time, CET): Everton–Coventry Fri 21:00, Leeds–Tottenham Sat 13:30, Arsenal–Hull Sat 16:00, Fulham–Newcastle Sat 16:00, Nottingham Forest–Manchester City Sat 18:30, Brighton–Brentford Sun 15:00, Crystal Palace–Liverpool Sun 15:00, Ipswich–Bournemouth Sun 15:00, Sunderland–Chelsea Sun 15:00, Manchester United–Aston Villa Sun 17:30.
Source: Premier League Weekly Report – Matchweek 10 (PlaymakerAI)